I had expected our girls to beat Japan and was looking decidedly wrong in the third quarter. But they rallied - good on them.
In today's final, the relativity that will determine the outcome is (a) The amount of protection the refs give Zhang at both ends of the floor? and (b) just how efficient will Aust be in offense transition?
Without Zhang, I believe we are more likely to beat China than lose. The partisan, vocal crowd will be a challenge for us. Early on I expect Saffron/Somfai will be dribble penetraing and coming at Zhang, mostly to pick up early fouls on her. Saffron is fairly tall and she plays long, and she will demand that Zhang move laterally to block her - the question then becomes - will the refs - facing that crowd pressure - call the fouls? And at the other end, with Zhang posting up, will the refs give her undue protection when she pushes her defender back at the mid/low block - will they call offense charges and travels her? I anticipate Williams will get a lot of minutes early, and will get the main defensive assignment on Zhang - if the refs want to engage in charity, let the fouls pile up on Williams, not Somfai, as Somfai gives us so much in offense. It's going to be a fascinating game.