This is THE game. Australia MUST defeat Canada AND Japan to be able to finish at least second or possibly first in Group B.
In the game between Australia vs. Canada, the x factor will be Kia Nurse. She has yet to score in double figures in this tournament. If Kia can drop 15-19 points against the Opals, that should seal the deal. Bec Allen could have easily canceled Kia Nurse's points. However, it looks like Bec will be a no show due to injury.
At this point, it is quite clear that this Japanese Team is no where near Team Japan of the Tokyo Olympics. Australia and France can both beat Japan.
IF Australia can beat Canada AND Japan they will be 5 - 1
IF Canada losses to Australia AND defeats Mali they will be 5 - 1
IF France can beat Japan AND Serbia they will be 5 - 1
The FIRST tie breaker is head to head. The SECOND tie breaker: Points Differ- ential.
I am not sure, but in a scenario were France has a win over Australia, Canada has a win over France, and Australia has a win over Canada. The points differ- ential becomes the tie breaker and will determine the final group standings.
The first three teams of Group B have these point differentials: Australia has +62, Canada has +35, & France has +14.
The final group standings IF these teams finish 5-1:
1. Australia
2. Canada
3. France
The ONLY way Australia can reasonably expect to win a BRONZE Medal is to fin- ish first or second. That is the ONLY way to avoid Team USA and China in the qtrs. If the Opals finish 3rd, they become the lost blind man in the middle of the Outback without water.
FIBA uses this bracket system in their youth tournaments.
A1 will play B4
A2 will play B3
A3 will play B2
A4 will play B1
FIBA also used this bracket system in the 2021 Tokyo Olympic Women's Basket- ball qtr. draw.
B1 USA vs. C3 Australia - the Opals were eliminated.
Even a second place group finish will probably give you the Cats in the qtrs. And make no mistake, the Cats are fully capable of scratching the Opals eyes out. A first place group finish will probably give you the Puerto Ricans in the qtrs. And even thou it is not likely, they COULD beat the Opals on a good night. And so far, Arella Guirantes of Puerto Rico has outplayed every single player on the Opals squad.
Arella against BIH, the Mali of Group A.
https://www.fiba.basketball/womensbasketballworldcup/2022/game/2209/Bosnia-and-Herzegovina-Puerto-Rico
This is what Arella did against Belgium, a team fully capable of beating ANY team in Group B.
https://www.fiba.basketball/womensbasketballworldcup/2022/game/2409/Puerto-Rico-Belgium#tab=overview