NBL have done a stellar job in making all games available and free via SBS On Demand and twitch along with all games on TV. It was once a dream to have all games on - used to look at the Foxtel magazine for all the 36ers games, count them and highlight them. It was like living in analogue times with physical books for street maps and yellow pages/white pages.
Weird to even contemplate not being able to watch all games wherever whenever.
We do have to be honest with the state of play though.
The NBL attracts really low TV ratings. ALeague at its worst and heavily chastised might be similar to decent NBL ratings.
We have seen amazing growth crowds wise - I think this might be attributed to going at that family market, taking away from the dwindling big bash, aleague. These people aren't watching NBL on TV though and they’re certainly not seeking it out via an almost unwatched network in Viceland and streaming service OnDemand.
I think this is a reflection that people watching broadcasts are largely religious NBL followers - chances are they’re the ones that will follow the NBL anywhere to the extent it is easily accessible.
Given the glut of sports on Fox/ESPN/Kayo, it seems like sports fiends are not choosing the NBL to watch when given the option.
There doesn’t seem to be the kind of ratings growth to suggest casual viewers are tuning in, or that being on Kayo/Fox provides specific market reach that is being captured and utilised.
It puts the NBL between a rock and a hard place. Add that to dwindling FTA ratings - people aren’t watching TV like they used to, they’re flocking to streaming. But streaming isn’t just Netflix and Stan anymore. Fox have come in with Binge/Kayo; there’s Amazon Prime; there’s Paramount+ coming, there’s Disney+ recently entering. There’s Optus sports and then there are league passes. It’s fractured and overwhelmed with options with limited money people will spend on streaming.
Finally, there’s an element of shedding by FTA networks and Fox of sports expenditure that’s not the big 4 (AFL, NRL, Cricket, Oz Open). Netball got lucky with Fox being pursued through gov funding.
In my view, a best possible, realistic but not highly likely outcome, would be a few afternoon weekend games on an FTA Network, a streaming service carrying all games that has a significant subscriber base but not too much sport for basketball to get lost in, an investment strategy by the network to see the league grow and succeed and a decent financial arrangement over a significant period (lasting 4-5 years) that can see the NBL achieve stability and a semblance of sustainability.
Nine/Stan could provide that, maybe - but they would have to be seriously game to put the effort in.
SBS/ESPN I don’t think will provide a path to achieve unlocking the casual viewer market, it hasn’t thus far I don’t see that changing. It doesn’t seem to be driving an increase in value for NBL tv rights, the only thing that is seems to be the introduction of more sports streaming platforms trying to gain content. That won’t last IMO.