Stability is incredibly important.

Luckily for the NBL, the season is over and by the time the season re-starts, Corona should by and large be over, should it not be, you'd expect it would be by Nov/Dec, NBL could begin delayed without too much issue.

Where NBL IS affected, is if owners who were flush with cash no longer are due to their business interests or limited investors now because of the drowning economy, and most importantly, limitation of sponsorship due to businesses losing significant amounts of money.

Expect it to be a leaner year or two revenue wise for NBL - something hopefully they're well built to over come.

The people that enforce their contract instead of just mutually parting ways will have a job for now. They just won't have a job nor club in the future.

Don't Norwood own their venue. Starplex will be fine. Feel for north with new venue and not real opportunity to show case... guess this will halt movement on south new venture...
Think reality is sport last on list now - health and job security are priorities. Need to band together where can. Look out for others. Hoops can wait... hope no lost of clubs.

Luckily for the NBL, the season is over and by the time the season re-starts, Corona should by and large be over

A big issue for NBL clubs will be owners of teams and sponsors all losing so much business/money. With pubs, restaurants, etc closed I don't think Prancing Pony will be giving too much to the Sixers next season. The player sponsors pay a few thousand for the sponsorship, can't see those payments easy to come by as some of them were from restaurants and pubs. The owners of the clubs will be losing money in their business too so will probably tighten the belts a little.

Moving forward at least athletes won't be grossly overpaid.

For the 19/20 Season, COVID19 really had no impact on any individual team other than Sydney and Perth.

Melbourne and Cairns were playing when the Virus was known, but they still got their full house in their one home game.

Sydney and Perth would have suffered greatly having to still rent both arenas with staff and get zero revenue.

I believe it when Perth say they breakeven at the GF (and likely make money there).

The league would have lost money as well. Thankfully all Sponsorships would still be paid out as the season regular completed.

Even if COVID settled down by next season, I think it will still be in people's minds not to attend. There will be a large portion of people who aren't infected and they may stay away.

So next season I expect all teams to suffer more.

The league can save money by keeping all luxury tax payments and rescinding league equalisation payments.

In a league where Cairns came third in front of Melbourne we no longer need equalisation.

In a league where the Hawks are gifted Lamelo and equalisation payments, and still end up as trash as they are, they don't need these payments.

Plus Clubs will need to start recruiting within a couple of months.

How much do you pay players now knowing revenue could drop off a cliff? Are newly recruited or re-negotiating players be willing to accept less given the excesses of the arms race for the last 3 seasons?

How would recruiting even go without NCAA, Summer League, NBL1? It will just be watching mixtapes on Youtube where even Keith Benson footage could be compiled to rival that of Clint Capela.

The ones that will survive are the Sydney Kings and Melbourne United with deep pockets.

Lisch and Kickert are happy to take less money, Tate may want more money, Casper isn't even getting to play NBL1 to regain form.

Then clubs normally start marketing for members in about 3-4 months time, it is suggested that that will be the time of peak COVID19. Who is going to be thinking of basketball when outside is the Walking Dead?

And what price do you set on memberships? At current prices you can imagine a big drop off in memberships considering not just the COVID risk but the fact that people could be cash poor for a while.

It is going to be a very challenging time for the NBL even though we scraped through this season.

What should the NBL do about the Salary Cap? It has a calculation that normally goes upwards, should it be changed to scale it back? If they do scale it back...how can teams with big contracts continue to fit new players in?

If the season does go ahead, I can't imagine imports playing so the lack of summer league and such probably won't affect much.

Borders are going to stay closed for a number of years.

Holy Sheet.

We're going to see :

- Money Makin' Jason Cadee
- Money Makin' Kevin White
- Grown Man Ernest Ross
- Cam Tragardh and Wortho start for Cairns.

I also feel for the next level down (State League in WA) This is really worrying for all the club's, I know our club has already sent our imports back home. Who knows what the future will bring.
Take care everyone.

Hard to know where the new normal is going to be. Hopefully, within 3-6 months there'll be some effective treatments that make COVID19 cases more easily managed, without the need for as many high intensity hospital services. That could make it practicable to relax intranational travel and maybe some international movement, as it’d reduce the chances of overloading health systems. Lots of ifs and buts involved. If the treatments are able to be mass produced and distributed. If countries can afford them in quantities needed and make them available to their populations etc. If transport systems and processes are able to be restored quickly. E.g., what safety checks and maintenance might be need3d on planes that have been on the ground for a few months, before they can fly. What retraining will pilots need after not flying for a few months etc.

If that happens, that might tide things over until a vaccine is available in 12-18 months. Then, we might see a return to completely unrestricted travel during the year after that.

What are the chances of NBL season starting in 7 months time, in the above scenario?

I don't think many clubs will have a problem? Unless they are stuck paying contracts they can't get out of. The real problem will be the unfortunately people relying on sport for their income. Rec centres will have to lay-off most of their staff.

As for the NBL, since the season just finished, they are best placed to weather the storm.

Remains to be seen how quickly we can lock this disease down.

Paul Smith throwing a tantrum and now the virus could result in him being a one hit wonder of an owner... err let me rephrase that - one flop wonder.

koberulz, 6-7 months away gives time for things to improve: combination of lock down measures should they be implemented, testing and distribution of vaccines, and return of summer weather (outside of flu season - virus is one thing but the medical community is more concerned with the mix of flu and virus re super spreaders and symptoms making people critically ill; and tougher for viruses to survive in hot weather)

Nobody knows what will occur 6-7 months down the track, it is however a good chunk of time.

There is zero evidence that summer weather makes a damn bit of difference, as our outbreak here despite warmer weather would indicate.

I don't see anyone opening borders this year. Especially if the US does indeed go with its "the economy is more important than lives, everyone back to work!" plan.

You haven't read the news in the last three weeks, have you?

The NBL hasn't avoided a storm just because they're not playing right now.

Vaccines are a minimum of a year away. They're not the answer to the next NBL season.

There is zero evidence that summer weather makes a damn bit of difference, as our outbreak here despite warmer weather would indicate.

Vaccines are a minimum of a year away.

Borders are going to stay closed for a number of years.

Time will tell, but I don't believe this. You will see a vaccine within 2 months. The Chinese already have it, is a matter of time before we get it also.

Perthworld
Yesterday

Moving forward at least athletes won't be grossly overpaid.


Yep athletes and coaches of AFL and NRL in particular but also some of the hacks running around the NBL, and will be more interesting with the amateur local hero's, the milking of junior clubs will have ended.

The pro leagues aren't going to be able to get the huge TV deals, sponsorship money will tighten right up. Imports wont be able to come in and do waste of time individual session for kids, because mum and dad aren't working any more and they cant afford it, clubs and even local associations will have to be run by volunteers even more so, gone will be the days of the JDO earning 70k plus also robbing parents further with individual sessions.

times are a changing

you may get your uniform made in Australia now though

JR there is no way in the world i am putting anything in my body created by the chinese

Swings and roundabouts - inevitable damage, however the money will flow again. This is GFC type stuff, worse, it may take a few years to start a decent recovery.

Sponsorship is a serious issue, but clubs are running through this period normally without game-night income while they prepare for sales pitches to sponsors and fans. Can prep and hold collateral in readiness, maintain communication with fans, etc. Might not take full staff, but still bound to keep a couple of people busy.

Corona Virus didn't just hit today, and they didn't just start working on a vaccine today.

They've been working on it for nearly 4 months, should it take another 8 months, that wouldn't dent the NBL season very much.

Which lends straight to what I said, the NBL shouldn't be too affected in terms of timing for the season given it's 7 monthsish away, and should it be, there's plenty of wriggle room for the NBL to delay a couple of months or more.

Even if a successful vaccine were to be creates, tested, produced in 6 months, I think the impact would still be felt by the league.

I think the fear would still be there by the majority of the population who remain uninfected (I hope). Many would simply stay away and watch from home instead.

Indeed, nobody is escaping unaffected.

Yes, renewals are an issue.
It really depend son how well teams have managed their cash. If you need 20/21 renewals now, to pay blls, then yes you'll be in trouble.

Thank God we have Daniel Dillon, Kevin White and Brendan Teys to bring ShowTime to the AEC next season, otherwise we'd be in trouble.

Fair to say you'd have zero clue on that, and no basis to place any minimum on that. Vaccines are developed - every single year - faster than 12/18 months.

[National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Director Anthony]Fauci previously told CNN that researchers could expedite the approval process for a vaccine following a successful Phase 1 trial in an attempt to halt the spread of the virus.
But even when proceeding at an "emergency speed," a vaccine would not be available for use for at least a year or 18 months, he said Tuesday.

But even if scientists can celebrate having developed a vaccine this year, there is still the massive job of being able to mass-produce it.

It means, realistically, one would not be ready until at least the middle of next year.

Even if the research goes well, a vaccine wouldn't be available for widespread use for 12 to 18 months, said Dr. Anthony Fauci of the U.S. National Institutes of Health.

Johnson & Johnson, which is repurposing a technology for the new coronavirus vaccine that was once successful for its Ebola and Zika vaccines, is "looking at 8 to 12 months" before the vaccine is publicly available, says the company’s chief scientific officer, Paul Stoffels.

Anthony Fauci, the longtime director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (N.I.A.I.D.), spoke up. “A vaccine that you make and start testing in a year is not a vaccine that’s deployable,” he said. The earliest it would be deployable, Fauci added, is “in a year to a year and a half, no matter how fast you go.”

I don't really see the question of "imports" being an issue.
If anything, the exact opposite.

We're not going to have a season, unless we (at least in Australia) have this fekking virus under control.
And that's definitely possible. (It's also possible we won't.)

In which case, either the world is mostly back to normal, or our borders remain locked down, because the rest of the world is still in a shit-storm.
And in that case, we could probably have our pick of imports, at rock-bottom prices.

Unless this turns completely into the Zombie apocalypse, there will always be some flights, preceded by medical clearances and following by immediate quarantine. Organisations that can pay for that will be ok.
Imports, presumably with no NBA, and no access to Europe, will be lining up to get themselves and their families out of buttfuck Idaho.

But yeah, America is going to have a huge problem. They have a lot of poor people living in overcrowded conditions, most of whom have no access to decent healthcare, and are distrustful of authorities.
Plus a lot of people will lose their jobs, which in the US means losing your health insurance.
And unlike the developing nations where authorities can lock it all down, every measure they try will be challenged in court by rabid lawyers.

So dr koberulz's view is there won’t be an NBL 20/21

I think people would listen more to you Koberulz if you had the capability to converse in English properly instead misinterpreting words and then doing some googling thinking you're informing people.

If someone says:
"Should be, and should it not be"

That does not equate to:
“It definitely will be”

Stop cutting and pasting media grabs, have a chat to a Head or Respiratory at a hospital, or an ENT - that’s something not replaceable by Google

You're right, if you ignore the facts hard enough they'll go away.

The "should be, but should it not be" was your suggestion that the NBL good to go ahead on time, which koberulz wasn't responding to.

Agree with D2.0. Yes, we, The NBL AND all of Aust, share these problems BUT we also seem to have one of the best containment regimes with a comparably lower strike rate than others.

For our NBL imports, costs are always based on competition. Players play for the largest pay-packet they can get. With Europe as our main rival for the best avail imports and possibly South America & China being 2 and 3, do you think that more, top class American imports may choose the NBL instead of the opportunity to play in Spain, Italy, China, and some of the Sth American countries? You may even find that some top Euros will be looking for a new basketball home.

This problem is not an Australian one. It's world wide. Everyone will be affected by this, Aust less than most, I think.

As sad/bad as this tragedy is, Aust basketball could actually benefit from it.

One of my all-time favourite proverbs has been; "Sweet are the uses of adversity" (Shakespeare, I think). Adversity, itself, isn't so sweet but what we do to conquer adversity is very sweet.

I am not cheering for the covid19 issue. That has already happened. I hate that it did! The only thing that really matters now is how we react.

As an example of how this can be "used", "respectfully", without any gloating, our recruitment of internationals could include catch phrases like "the safest place to play", "Come to Oz and protect/prolong your career", "the best basketball in the safest environment", "Sydney is a bit dodgy but still better than the rest of the world!", etc.

PLUS! The whole world is also suffering commercially. Consequently, everyone will be offering less money to their recruits anyway.

Extension:

With the current NBL rules re imports in our league, each team is allowed 3 and as many others as they can get away with. There are say 10 teams in the league, ergo; 30 imports.

We have been blessed with some sensations lately. But imagine what an influx of new applicants who want to play in a safer environment could mean. Say 60 or 70 want to apply for 30 jobs. What then???

Granted, Anon. NO arguement there. None at all!

I will abbreviate my previous post to, "What do we do about it?".

My ideas may be stupid, they often are. But please, don't tell me we're f**k*d. Everyone has that message. Come up with something.

And your comment: "Look how kings imports reacted when they thought they could not get home, out the door in a flash." is absolutely irrelevant to this topic. They went home for fear of not being able to later, to re-join there own life, not because it is safer there.

Thank you for being an Anon. It means that I can insult you without being personal.

You dickhead. You missed/ignored my intent completely and then to prove your stupidity you include trash to make YOUR point!

Wonder how it affects Tasmania - they were on a tight timeline re development of DEC to begin with

South Yarra lol

Kobe translating those media grabs of people saying "we don't know - probably as 12 months - 18 months" as, quoted, "Vaccines are a minimum of a year away."

Pessimists out in force. Doom and gloom. Everything will collapse in a burning heap. Or are the above anons really Gill McLaughlin and his AFL muppets hoping.