Anonymous
Years ago
Govt: Cancel All mass gatherings of over 500 people
Breaking news.
This means no crowds for NBL or no games at all?
Anonymous
Years ago
Breaking news.
This means no crowds for NBL or no games at all?
Isaac
Years ago
Nine News:
State and Federal Government to release advice to cancel ALL public gatherings of over 500 people.
https://twitter.com/9NewsAUS/status/1238291807026511872?s=20
"No crowds, GF to still be best of 5 series."
Wouldn't you want to minimise travel at this point too?
koberulz
Years ago
If there's no crowds they could bang out the remaining four games at Bendat over the next few days. No travel necessary.
Another Anon
Years ago
BTW - it's not the Govt cancelling events over 500 (yet). It's the head of the AMA recommending it to a meeting of state and federal leaders.
But it's inevitable now.
Luuuc
Years ago
ScoMo will be resisting with all his strength but I have faith that there will be enough consensus on the advice to convince him to pretend to be a leader
God makes scomo decisions, this might not end very well.
First Kings get Louzada as a Next Star, now home crowd taken away from their opponent. how much help do they need ;)
AngusH
Years ago
What's the average crowd size at a Hillsong event? The impact of this will be enormous!
Luuuc
Years ago
ScoMo seems to have agreed with the exert advice that the mass gatherings cancellation is a good idea, but randomly also decided that Monday is when it should start.
?????????????
he wants to watch his sharks and get his free beer
We will just let a few more thousand get the virus and wait till Monday, it the with the bush fire emergency, always to late and it costs a lot more to rectify.
Triton 26
Years ago
Why are the Norwood threads locked? Why can't we comment?
FTR its an overreaction and not required. Games should go ahead. Norwood need to pull their head in and listen to BasketballSA, who will act on government advice.
#052 we have 160 confirmed cases since December. And you think in 2 days we are going to get a few thousand more! Maybe live in the real world chump
koberulz
Years ago
#052 we have 160 confirmed cases since December. And you think in 2 days we are going to get a few thousand more!160 confirmed cases. Three deaths, which means there were already 343 cases two weeks ago assuming a death rate of 0.87%. It doubles every week or so meaning that if there are three deaths now, there are over 2,300 actual cases. We just only know about 160 of them.
koberulz
Years ago
FWIW running that math, with one death in a population of two million with an 0.87% death rate and 13,611 people in attendance, chances of a COVID-19 case at RAC Arena are 99%. Assuming a 4% death rate the chances go down to 70%, which is still way too damn high.
Isaac
Years ago
Why are the Norwood threads locked? Why can't we comment?A few people have historically been unable to discuss Norwood without making my life painful so they can go talk about it on Facebook or somewhere else.
FTR its an overreaction and not required. Games should go ahead. Norwood need to pull their head in and listen to BasketballSA, who will act on government advice.
So Kobe there should be several thousand cases arise out of the Womens World Cup final at the MCG in the near future after 90,000 were in attendance
koberulz
Years ago
I can't find the case/death numbers for Victoria.
"FWIW running that math, with one death in a population of two million with an 0.87% death rate and 13,611 people in attendance, chances of a COVID-19 case at RAC Arena are 99%. Assuming a 4% death rate the chances go down to 70%, which is still way too damn high."
What?
At 11pm AEDST 13th March Australia had 156 confirmed cases with 3 deaths. Victoria have 23 confirmed cases. 26 of the 156 cases have recovered.
https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert
"Did I stutter?"
No, I just didn't understand the math that was being applied.
Isaac
Years ago
What?Same link - scroll down to where they explain how to extrapolate from data where your public results/info post-date the cases themselves.
France claims 1,400 cases today and 30 deaths. Using the two methods above, you can have a range of cases: between 24,000 and 140,000.
So when Wuhan thought it had 444 cases, it had 27 times more.
Spain has very similar numbers as France (1,200 cases vs. 1,400, and both have 30 deaths). That means the same rules are valid: Spain has probably upwards of 20k true cases already.
koberulz
Years ago
There's a spreadsheet if you want to run your own numbers. I plugged in the WA death toll (1 AFAIK), Perth population (just over 2,000,000), and set my number of employees to 13,611, which from memory is the capacity at RAC Arena.
Anon
Years ago
What's the average crowd size at a Hillsong event? The impact of this will be enormous!
They all wave their arms in the air and pray to the imaginary chump in the sky.....they should be fine lol
Anon
Years ago
Luuuc
A couple of hours ago
ScoMo seems to have agreed with the exert advice that the mass gatherings cancellation is a good idea, but randomly also decided that Monday is when it should start.
?????????????
I know right haha.....he's got somewhere he wants to go this weekend, I mean if it needs stopping by preventing mass gatherings, it needs stopping now, not in two days, the virus isn’t going to say "ok I’ll wait till Monday ....he’s such a tool
So best of 3 games then if there is no masses over 500 on Monday?
Isaac
Years ago
They're still planning a five game series, just without crowds. If any player/staff test positive, they suspend it all.
Luuuc
Years ago
Kings if they're down 0-2 after tonight:
"We're all feeling sick"
koberulz
Years ago
Doubt that would help. At 0-2 it becomes pretty easy to award the series without playing further.
If Sydney win tonight and something happens, it's going to be interesting.
I think if the series gets suspended, just put in the history books as a year with no winner.
By the way, apparently the decision to start the 500 people ban from Monday was on the advice of the chief medical officer. Something about not making people panic.
Luuuc
Years ago
Hey #RedArmy, let's all get together at Crown Sports Bar and watch it on the big screen!
Anon
Years ago
Thanks for the link koberulz (#799065)
best article I have read on COVID-19 and now I understand why I cant watch the cats live tonight and why social distancing is so important and why no one should wait til Monday to cancel things.
Everyone should read that.
https://twitter.com/richo3000/status/1238374424367136768?s=20
Wowee.
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