Breakers declared the winner with the finer details to be ironed out
OK, so the full points go to them and let's face it, we are arguing over %. The fair thing would be to say the final score is 52:65, which gives the Breakers a 13 point win. The game time was 27 mins with 13 mins still to play. OK, so could you predict the final score effectively?
I'm not aware of a "Duckworth-Lewis" type system, but if you extrapolated the score over 40 mins, the potential score could be 96 to 77. (174 points) Is this fair? The average NBL game this season has a total of 186 points scored. Each time is a little variable at home and on the road. I haven't updated my spreadsheet for a few rounds, but Hawks average score at home is 84 to 89 (173 points). Breakers average score on the road has been 91 to 99 (190 points)
There's a case to be had that the Hawks could have won, there's also a case to had that the 13 point gap would have held, and there's a case that the 13 point gap after 27 mins would have blown out to 19 points after 40 mins. The % could come into it in the event of a tie for 4th spot. Potentially, could the Breakers sue the stadium for losses of prize money in the event of not making the 4th?
At the 27 minute mark, the Hawks score should have been 27/40 x 84 = 56.7 points, so they are not far away from 52. The total score of 117 points would have produced a game of around 174 points and the Breakers were on track for around 100 points.
I think the best result would be to keep the score at 52:65. There are too many variables at play to accurately extrapolate a final score and the effect on % would be minimal over the full season.