Sunday:
Adelaide Lightning 2.36 & +3 @ 1.90
At home and in front of a bigger and more spirited than usual home crowd is good enough for this should they carry though on a recent focus lift, IMO. Only meeting was a four point Rd2 win to Caps, a long time ago now, with a rusty Mitchell first game back, while Alexander missing for Lightning (RB51-35, OB21-3), in a game where Lightning led most of the way despite Coffey sitting for two quarters from early foul trouble, before Griffin hauled the Caps over the line. Caps coming off a fast start close loss but a game that seemed to stamp Lynx as the superior team, despite Griffin just 29:02. Lightning carried forward from a strong loss @Melb to reel in Rangers minus Laney but who put on a 68% Q1 onslaught, while Coffey again in foul trouble (14:47). Bench minutes Friday were Adel-70, Canb-58, with a couple of Caps starters playing big minutes. All in all I give Lightning a strong chance today and have marked them the very slight favorite.