Melb Fan
Years ago
WNBL 17/18 Season Predictions
The question was raised by an anonymous poster in the offseason thread and I thought it deserved its own thread with less than a week til the Boomers and Rangers tip off the season.
I'll just copy across my own predictions (plus a few added ones) from that thread.
Top 4 in no particular order- Melbourne, Dandenong, Perth and Townsville.
Melbourne because well their roster looks pretty damn good on paper - whether or not this translates to getting wins is another thing and to be honest I'm concerned about their reliance on Cambage. Its happened on every team she's been on, so they need to have a plan B when she's double or even triple teamed or in foul trouble.
Dandenong because I think their roster is pretty well rounded too, although it could be argued they'll over rely on their starters. I reckon Sara Blicavs will break out and absolutely dominate this year. It'll be interesting to see who will be their go-to PG out of Palau and Lavey.
Perth because I think when they're on, they'll be next to unstoppable with their athleticism and shooting abilities to wear teams down. I really don't think teams can even offer help defence against them because if you leave someone open on their team they'll probably burn you. Question is how they'll gel with quite a few trigger happy players on the roster. IMO they'll probably be the most fun team to watch of all this season. (since writing this Farnworth has been ruled out for most if not all of the season, massive blow for them but I think Whitcomb/Williams/Kunek will be able to step up to cover her absence).
Townsville because well you can never really discount them can you.. Garbin and Aokuso coming off the bench are quite handy, and judging by their preseason games Aokuso is right at home already and is capable of quite a bit. Having Suzy and Cayla back on the one team is a scary proposition for the other sides IMO and will really free up the likes of Murray and Wiese to use their perimeter shooting power.
Yes shock no Sydney, I think they may struggle without Leilani which isn't made much easier with Tupaea being out for most if not all of the season with injury. I'm not confident in how deep their roster is (especially without Tupaea) in comparison to the other teams. I feel the other teams have really stepped up their rosters whereas Sydney haven't - I'd say they'll finish just outside the 4.
I'm not sure how the veteran likes of Snell, Hodges, Hurst, Bass, Gabe & Batkovic (even O'Hea and Jarry could be added to this list with their injury histories) will go with this style of scheduling - a lot of back to back weekends and road trips in such a short span of time may not bode well with their bodies at this point in their career.
I have a feeling the finals series will be between Melbourne and Townsville, but toss a coin who will win it. Could well be some Lynx/Sparks finals series type games IMO.
MVP - Sara Blicavs
All Star 5 - Sara Blicavs, Cambage, Courtney Williams, Batkovic and Whitcomb.
Rookie of the Year - Ezi Magbegor
Champions - Townsville in 3 games