PeterJohn
Years ago
Why have the 36ers gone downhill so fast?
Until 4 games ago, Adelaide was giving up the fewest points per game of all teams in the NBL (78.4). I was gobsmacked at the time, given the team's history.
In the last 4 games we've given up 101.5 points per game. Our season average is back to historical normal and we're giving up the third highest points per game.
So what has changed? Clearly the team's defence has gone downhill in a big way. But why? The only things I could think of were Teys being injured and Randle arriving/McNeail leaving. So I've done a comparison of selected stats for the first half and second half of the season so far for the 36ers.
In the first 4 games, the 36ers' opponents shot 37/111 from 3 point territory (30%). In game 5 (Randle's first game, off the 'plane, not settled into the line-up) the opponent shot 7/26 (27%). In the last 4 games, opponents have shot 44/111 (40%).
In the first 4 games, 36ers' opponents took 54 free throws (13.5 per game), scoring 9.3 points per game from them. In the 5th game they took 6 and got 6 points. In the last 4 games, opponents have taken 113 free throws (28.3 per game) and scored 20.3 points per game from them.
In the first 4 games, Gibson's effectiveness rating ranged from 12 to 26 and averaged 19.8 per game. In game 5 it was 17. In the last 4 games it's ranged from -3 to 18 and averaged 9.3 per game.
Teys played 3 of the first 4 games and has played 3 of the last 4, missing 3 in the middle. He played very few minutes in game 7.
The fall-off in Gibson's rating since Randle arrived and became the offensive focus reminds me of his problems with Wilson in the team in the first half of last season.
It also looks very much like the 36ers can no longer defend the perimeter nor the inside penetration, since Randle arrived. That suggests either teams have changed strategy to exploit a pre-existing weakness or Randle's arrival has broken the 36ers' defence.
I haven't seen the games themselves, so this is based on review of box scores. What do those who've seen the team over the season so far think has caused thIs Jekyll and Hyde change?