Rat10
Years ago
Sixer's finals chances
Ok, assuming the Sixers beat the Slingers in Singapore on Wednesday then we need Cairns to lose their last 2 games.
They face the Hawks on Wednesday in Wollongong and then the Crocs on Saturday night at home.
Given the Taipan's form recently, I think the Hawks could get this one, especially given the Taipans lost to the Dragons last Wednesday. However, I would still think that Cairns are favourites for this game given that they have everything to play for and the Hawks are out of the finals running.
Suppose that the Sixers beat the Slingers and the Hawks upset Cairns. We then need the Crocs to beat the Taipans on Saturday night. This will be tough for the Crocs - they are playing their second night in a row and Cairns are at home.
The thing that could come into play however is the fact that the Crocs can take the Wildcat's spot in the top 4. We have to hope that the Blaze beat the Wildcats on Wednesday and then the Crocs beat the Blaze on Friday so they have something to play for against Cairns on Saturday night. If not, then the Crocs could just lay down and be beaten easily by a Taipans team with a finals spot at stake. (The Breakers could also beat the Wildcats on Saturday night but I feel this is unlikely given the game is at Challenge.)
Of course, this will all be irrelevant if wednesday night's results don't go our way but it is worth going through the different scenarios, especially seeing as though the Taipans - Crocs game is on Fox and will be massive if we are relying on the result of that game for a final's spot.
